90% of U.S. jobs disrupted by AI adoption, study finds

NEW JERSEY, UNITED STATES — A new study by Cognizant and Oxford Economics predicts that 90% of jobs in the United States will be disrupted in some way by generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) technology over the next decade. 

The New Work, New World study explores three scenarios of AI adoption by U.S. businesses and its potential impact on productivity, economic growth, and the job market.

The research finds AI adoption could leap from 13% to 31% among U.S. companies in just four to eight years. This boost in adoption is predicted to increase U.S. productivity by 1.7-3.5% and grow gross domestic product (GDP) by $477 billion to $1 trillion annually over the next 10 years. 

However, the rapid integration of AI could also significantly change 52% of jobs as tasks are automated. About 9% of the current U.S. workforce, equating to 1% struggling to find new roles, may be displaced.

“Generative AI has already astonished us with its capabilities across industries, but the true impact of its integration in our daily business operations has just scratched the surface,” said Cognizant Chief Executive Officer Ravi Kumar S.

Jobs involving higher levels of knowledge work are expected to be most affected compared to previous waves of automation that focused more on manual and process-driven labor. 

“Additionally, jobs involving credit analysis, computer programming, web development, database administration, and graphic design already have a theoretical maximum exposure score of about 50%. By 2032, as technology advances, some jobs’ exposure scores may climb to 80%,” the report said.

Even CEOs may see over 25% of their responsibilities automated by AI used for strategic planning and decision-making.

“The research findings showcase just how quickly this technology might disrupt the trajectory of the U.S. economy, offering invaluable insights for leaders to harness its potential and adapt swiftly,” said Adrian Cooper, CEO at Oxford Economics.